Intelligence & Analysis

Insights on global trade,
capital and commodities

Analysis on developments in global trade, commodity markets and the capital that finances them.

The $2.5 Trillion Trade Finance Gap Isn't Just a Risk Problem — It's a Verification Problem
Default rates in trade finance are among the lowest of any asset class in banking. So why does a $2.5 trillion gap persist? Public data increasingly points to the cost of verification, not the accuracy of risk pricing.
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The Container Market Is Booming Because It's Broken
Freight rates are spiking in mid-2026 even as a record shipbuilding orderbook looms — a collision between Red Sea rerouting, Panama's reversal, and slowing trade growth, with direct consequences for commodity traders and trade finance.
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Private Capital and Commodities in 2026 — A Structural Shift
Family offices and private banks are approaching commodities differently. Data from J.P. Morgan, Altss and others points to where sophisticated capital is moving, and why.
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